Trailing 12-month deliveries of 10,213 units outpaced absorption of 7,442 units, sustaining lease-up competition, though four consecutive quarters of elevated absorption signal that underlying renter demand remains intact
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The construction pipeline is contracting sharply: trailing 12-month starts fell to 4,820 units from 8,267 one year ago, and the active pipeline has declined 30% to around 4.5% of the market’s base inventory.
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Average effective rent trends remain in negative territory on an annual basis, but a 0.7% quarterly gain in Q1 2026 offers an early stabilization signal that improves recovery potential as the market enters the spring leasing season.
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MARKET OUTLOOK
Orlando is navigating the tail end of a substantial supply cycle, consistent with conditions across many high-supply Sun Belt metros...