MARKET SNAPSHOT

Phoenix q3 2026

AVERAGE RENT

$1,432 Q3 2026

OCCUPANCY RATE

91.5% Q3 2026

NET ABSORPTION

22,649 T4Q

ANNUAL RENT CHANGE

-2.9% Q3 2026

YoY OCCUPANCY CHANGE

50 BPS

UNIT COMPLETIONS

15,993 T4Q

KEY TAKEAWAYS
Renter demand in Phoenix accelerated sharply, with trailing four-quarter absorption up 41% from a year ago and all 15 submarkets in the metro posting positive net absorption.
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The pipeline has contracted more than 60% from its 2023 peak, with trailing four-quarter starts down 25% from a year ago.
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Occupancy improved to 91.5%, now leading the Southwest region, while rent growth remained in negative territory, though the annual decline has narrowed considerably from a trough earlier this year.
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MARKET OUTLOOK

Phoenix’s recovery should continue through the next several quarters, with the rent story improving faster than the occupancy story. Annual rent growth is projected to turn positive by mid-2027...

Featured Arizona Research Reports:

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Joe Boyle

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Michael-Sullivan

Michael Sullivan

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