MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Oklahoma City Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,016

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

1.8%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,034

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

89.5%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

+10 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

89.6%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

2,213

2025 COMPLETIONS

1,466

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

476

2026 COMPLETIONS

1,906

2025 NET ABSORPTION

1,216

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

492

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • The supply pipeline has reset rapidly, with starts and under construction inventory collapsing to multi-decade lows and setting up an exceptionally light 2026 delivery schedule that should reduce lease-up competition and concessions.

  • Rent growth rates are stabilizing after lowering from cycle highs, with annual gains holding around 1.0% in late 2025, However, positive momentum is expected to push annual gains closer to 2.0% by year-end 2026 as supply-side conditions improve.

  • Occupancy remains steady in the high-89% range, and while absorption is expected to cool from 2025's elevated level, it is still projected to outpace new deliveries in 2026.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Oklahoma City’s short-term rental market outlook is increasingly constructive as the metro pairs steady, locally anchored demand drivers with a clear shift toward a more favorable supply backdrop...

Featured Oklahoma Research Reports:

ColtonHowell

Colton Howell

Senior Director
richardRedding

Richard Redding

Senior Director
Stuart Krous 2024

Stuart Krous

Senior Advisor

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