MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Las Vegas Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,433

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

0.3%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,438

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

90.9%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

-30 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

90.7%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

4,006

2025 COMPLETIONS

3,581

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

3,227

2026 COMPLETIONS

2,014

2025 NET ABSORPTION

2,682

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

3,058

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • Net absorption is projected to rise 50% in 2026, signaling that demand is re-accelerating as the market moves further into stabilization.

  • Looking forward, deliveries are projected to slow, reducing direct lease up competition and giving recently delivered communities more room to stabilize. This should support a more orderly path toward normalization into late 2026 and 2027.

  • Effective rents are projected to edge higher by Q4 2026, though concession pressure is expected to remain a headwind for most of the year.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Las Vegas enters 2026 in a transition phase where fundamentals are stabilizing, but competitive pressure remains elevated as the market finishes digesting the prior supply wave...

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