MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Dallas-Fort Worth Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,511

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

0.3%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,515

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

90.3%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

0 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

90.3%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

32,002

2025 COMPLETIONS

27,960

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

15,765

2026 COMPLETIONS

25,055

2025 NET ABSORPTION

21,238

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

14,860

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • Corporate investment remains a tailwind, highlighted by AT&T’s announcement to relocate its global headquarters from Downtown Dallas to Plano, consolidating roughly 6,000 workers into a new suburban campus by 2028, reinforcing the ongoing shift of major employers toward North Texas suburban nodes.

  • Approximately 32,000 units delivered in 2025, but deliveries are expected to decline by roughly 50% in the year ahead. Construction starts fell by about 25% year over year, and the roughly 30,500 units currently underway represent the smallest active pipeline since 2015.

  • The pricing recovery is expected to be gradual, as a sizeable volume of units still in lease-up continues to weigh on rents and delay a sustained rebound in annual rent growth. Rent growth is projected to turn modestly positive by late 2026, with gains trending toward 2% in 2027.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Dallas–Fort Worth’s multifamily outlook for 2026 is defined by stabilization rather than acceleration, as the market works through the final phase of an outsized supply cycle...

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