MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 El Paso Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,078

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

1.0%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,088

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

94.3%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

-10 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

94.2%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

537

2025 COMPLETIONS

526

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

122

2026 COMPLETIONS

778

2025 NET ABSORPTION

574

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

291

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • Average effective rent is forecast to rise 1.0%, with all submarkets projected to remain in positive territory, signaling a market supported by balanced fundamentals rather than isolated pockets of strength.

  • Net absorption is forecast to decline by 63% in 2026, yet completions are projected to drop 77%, creating a more favorable supply and demand relationship that should limit lease-up pressure and support continued pricing stability.

  • Stabilized occupancy is forecast to dip only 10 basis points to 94.2% in 2026, in line with long-term norms, reflecting a market that can absorb new supply without meaningful availability expansion as deliveries step down sharply.

MARKET OUTLOOK

El Paso’s short-term outlook for 2026 is defined by stabilization with improving underlying balance...

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