MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Chicago Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,869

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

2.4%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,914

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

95.4%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

0 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

95.4%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

5,377

2025 COMPLETIONS

8,816

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

4,384

2026 COMPLETIONS

6,179

2025 NET ABSORPTION

9,050

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Net Absorption

4,555

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • The Chicago market remains fundamentally healthy with occupancy projected to hold steady near 95% through 2026, indicating limited availability and a level of demand that is sufficient to absorb new supply without occupancy erosion.

  • Chicago’s 2026 rent outlook remains supported by a supply-disciplined pipeline—deliveries are projected to fall to roughly 4,400 units (about half the 10-year average), limiting sustained lease-up pressure and allowing rents to continue rising at a healthy, above-national pace.

  • Chicago enters 2026 with steady, resilient economic momentum, supported by a healthy labor market and durable strength in key sectors, even if growth remains uneven across the broader economy.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Chicago enters 2026 in a position of stability, supported by a healthy occupancy backdrop and a supply environment that remains more disciplined than prior cycles...

Featured Chicago Research Reports:

Bryan-Sullivan-V2

Bryan Sullivan

Managing Director
Connor-Hobbs

Connor Hobbs

Associate Advisor
Michael Nasca

Michael Nasca

Associate Advisor

To gain further insights into the chicago Market, contact our local team:

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MMG Real Estate Advisors
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