MARKET SNAPSHOT

2025 Omaha Forecast

2024

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2025

$1,213

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

3.4%

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,254

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

95.2%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

-30 BPS

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

95.0%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

1,694

2024 COMPLETIONS

1,901

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

2,296

2025 COMPLETIONS

2,560

2024 NET ABSORPTION

1,866

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Net Absorption

1,820

2025 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2025
  • STRONG MULTIFAMILY DEMAND SUSTAINS OCCUPANCY

    Net absorption topped 2,500 units in 2024, the second-highest on record and 25% above pre-pandemic levels. Omaha ranks among the top 20 U.S. markets for absorption as a share of existing inventory, keeping occupancy above 95%, well above the national average of 93%.

  • RENT GROWTH OUTPACING NATIONAL TRENDS

    Effective rents rose 3.4% year-over-year in Q4 2024, exceeding historical norms. Mid-tier properties led with a 4.2% increase, while Class A rents grew 2.1%, still outperforming national trends. Rent growth is expected to stay in the mid-3% range through 2025.

  • MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS DRIVING LONG-TERM GROWTH

    The Omaha streetcar system and Missouri River waterfront improvements are expected to enhance urban connectivity and livability, fueling long-term demand for multifamily housing in Omaha’s urban core.

2025 SUPPLY TRENDS

MULTIFAMILY STARTS INCREASED IN 2024

MULTIFAMILY STARTS INCREASED IN 2024

2023: 1,061 units > 2024: 2,376 units

Annual Decrease of 1,315 units or 124%

10 Yr. Historical Annual Average: 2,162 units

UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION TRENDING ABOVE THE 10 YEAR AVERAGE

UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION TRENDING ABOVE THE 10 YEAR AVERAGE

3,046 units under construction as of December 31st 2024

10 Yr. Historical Annual Average Units UC: 2,824

8% Higher than historical average

UNIT COMPLETIONS PROJECTED TO INCREASE IN 2025

UNIT COMPLETIONS PROJECTED TO INCREASE IN 2025

2024: 1,296 units > 2025: 2,296 units

Annual Decrease of 602 units or 36%

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions: 1,937 units

Omaha has experienced significant multifamily development over the past decade, with 19,000 units delivered cumulatively. Notably, 6,600 units have come online in the past three years alone, highlighting the intense supply-side pressure since the onset of the pandemic. However, this surge in development has been uneven across the metro, with certain submarkets emerging as vibrant hubs of activity. North Downtown, in particular, is undergoing a transformation driven by major redevelopment projects such as the Steelhouse Omaha concert venue and the Kiewit Luminarium, which are attracting both residents and multifamily developers to the area.

Despite recent deliveries, the market continues to see elevated construction activity, with more than 3,000 units currently underway—equivalent to a 4.0% inventory expansion. For context, the pre-pandemic historical average for units under construction was approximately 2,500. Of the units currently being built, 2,400 fall into the high-end segment, while 600 cater to the mid-priced market. Looking ahead, the planned Omaha streetcar system, which will connect downtown with midtown, is expected to stimulate further development and enhance urban connectivity. Additionally, improvements to the Missouri River waterfront, including new parks, trails, and entertainment venues, will further enhance livability and drive demand in revitalizing submarkets. These ongoing developments present opportunities for investors and developers to capitalize on Omaha’s evolving multifamily landscape.

2025 RENT & OCCUPANCY TRENDS
ANNUAL RENT GROWTH & OCCUPANCY
OCCUPANCY TRENDS

Omaha’s multifamily market recorded over 2,500 units of absorption in 2024, marking the second-highest annual total on record—trailing only 2021’s 2,700 units. This level of demand surpasses any pre-pandemic full-year total, exceeding the 2015-2019 annual average by approximately 25%. Notably, Omaha has also outperformed many of its national peers, ranking among the top 20 U.S. markets for both quarterly and annual absorption as a share of inventory among metros with at least 75,000 units.

Robust demand has helped maintain market stability, particularly compared to national trends. Omaha’s occupancy rate held firm at 95.2% in Q4 2024, reflecting a modest 30-basis-point year-over-year increase and standing well above the national average of approximately 93%. While net absorption is expected to moderate in 2025 relative to 2024’s record-high levels, occupancy is forecast to remain stable in the low-95% range throughout the year, reinforcing the metro’s strong multifamily fundamentals.

RENT TRENDS

Omaha has consistently ranked among the top U.S. multifamily markets for year-over-year rent growth over the past eight quarters, posting a 3.4% annual increase in Q4 2024. This performance surpasses the pre-pandemic five-year average of 2.4%—a commonly referenced benchmark for market stability. Mid-tier properties have led the gains, with rents rising 4.2% year-over-year, positioning Omaha near the top among major markets.

The mid-tier segment’s strength is driven by both supply and demand dynamics. Strong middle-income job growth has supported historically high absorption, while new supply has slowed significantly after peaking in 2023. Although Class A properties have posted comparatively weaker growth at 2.1%, this still outpaces the national average, where rents in the segment are declining. Looking ahead, Omaha is expected to maintain solid rent growth in the mid-3% range over the next four quarters.

Submarket Rent & Occupancy

2024 INCOME & EXPENSE ANALYSIS

12-month period ending November 2024

CLICK TO VIEW FORECAST DATA

INCOME

INCOME
Income AssumptionsValue / UnitYear Change (%)
Rental Income / Occupied Unit$1,186.265.6%
Recoverable Expenses / Occupied Unit$57.187.3%
Other Income / Occupied Unit$93.534.8%
Total Income / Occupied Unit$1,336.975.6%
Operating Income
Rental Income$1,115.405.0%
Recoverable Expenses$53.766.7%
Other Income$87.954.3%
Total Income$1,257.115.0%

EXPENSES

EXPENSES
Operating ExpensesValue / UnitYear Change (%)
Payroll$121.675.1%
Marketing & Advertising$18.0119.5%
Repairs & Maintenance$132.904.5%
Administrative$35.566.5%
Management Fees$49.47-3.5%
Utilities$55.53-0.8%
Real Estate & Other Taxes$159.0312.5%
Insurance$55.2129.3%
Other Operating Expensees$0.91
Total Operating Expense$628.287.6%
Net Operating Income$628.832.6%
Please note that the income and expense data presented in this section is sourced from trusted third-party data providers and does not reflect the entire market. While we strive for accuracy, our firm does not provide any warranty or guarantee regarding the reliability or precision of this information. We recommend users exercise discretion and professional judgment when interpreting and utilizing this data.
MARKET OUTLOOK

Omaha’s multifamily market continues to demonstrate resilience, with strong demand, stable occupancy, and solid rent growth. In 2024, net absorption surpassed 2,500 units—the second-highest total on record—exceeding pre-pandemic demand levels by roughly 35% and positioning Omaha among the top 20 U.S. markets for absorption as a share of inventory. This strong demand has helped maintain occupancy stability, with the metro’s rate holding at 95.2% in Q4 2024, well above the national average of 93%. While absorption is expected to moderate in 2025, occupancy levels are projected to remain in the low-95% range throughout the year.

Rent growth in Omaha continues to outpace national trends, with effective rents rising 3.4% year-over-year in Q4 2024. Mid-tier properties have led this growth, posting a 4.2% annual increase, supported by strong middle-income job gains and a slowdown in new supply after a 2023 peak. Meanwhile, Class A properties have seen more moderate rent growth at 2.1%, but still outperform the national average, where rents in the segment are declining. Looking ahead, Omaha is expected to maintain steady rent growth in the mid-3% range over the next four quarters, supported by a rebalancing supply pipeline and continued economic expansion, including major redevelopment efforts and infrastructure investments like the Omaha streetcar system and Missouri River waterfront improvements.

Disclaimer: This multifamily forecast incorporates data from reputable third-party sources, including Costar, Yardi Matrix, the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and ESRI. While we make every effort to ensure accuracy, we cannot guarantee the reliability of the projections provided. Forecasts are inherently subject to change due to evolving market conditions, economic factors, and unforeseen events. We strongly encourage users to conduct independent due diligence and consult with an MMG Advisor before making any investment decisions based on this information.

Featured Omaha Research Reports:

To gain further insights into the Omaha market, contact our team:

Harry Trotter | Senior Director

Harry Trotter

Senior Director
Josh Benard

Joshua Benard

Senior Advisor
Parker Guffey

Parker Guffey

Associate

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