Charlotte 2Q23
Multifamily Market Report

$1,600

average rent

93.8%

average occupancy rate

$499.3M

ytd sales volume

2.9%

YoY rent change

-2.3 POINTS

yoy occupancy change

11 YTD

individual transactions

Supply & Demand

2Q23

2,987 Units

QUARTERLY DEMAND
YTD: 5,444

3,637 Units

QUARTERLY COMPLETIONS
YTD: 6,854

Annual Demand vs Completions

2018
7,951
8,005
2019
8,551
8,200
2020
7,410
7,238
2021
11,793
9,347
2022
293
7,154
2023 YTD
5,444
6,854
  • Planned.png
    Completions
  • Pre-Planned.png
    Demand

Demand Trends

  • In Q2 2023, renters in the Charlotte apartment market demonstrated robust capacity for apartment units, absorbing over 2,980 net units, a positive sign for the market’s trajectory.
  • Out of 15 submarkets in Charlotte, twelve posted positive net absorption during Q2 2023, with the UNC Charlotte area leading the way, accounting for a net absorption of 725 units.

Completion Trends

  • In Q2 2023, Charlotte’s apartment inventory expanded by 3,637 units, with the UNC Charlotte submarket significantly contributing 881 of those units.
  • Over the past year, the UNC Charlotte submarket has seen a notable increase in completion, with new supply in this area accounting for an impressive 24.2% of the overall market’s inventory.

Demand Outlook

  • We anticipate healthy demand levels over the next four quarters, with an expected annual absorption rate of 20,804 units.
  • Southwest Charlotte, in particular, is set to be a key driver of this demand, with projections indicating it will contribute to 20% of the overall absorption over the coming year.

New Supply Outlook

  • The Charlotte apartment market stands on the threshold of a substantial expansion, with a notable increase of 21,920 units forecasted over the next four quarters.
  • Southwest Charlotte is anticipated to be at the forefront of this growth, with a projected addition of 4,450 units.

Occupancy & Rent Trends

RENT VS OWN
MONTHLY PAYMENT

$2,315

Average Monthly Mortgage Payment

$1,600

Average Monthly Rent

Occupancy trends

In the 2nd quarter of 2023, the Charlotte apartment market experienced a decline in occupancy, settling at 93.8%—a year-over-year decrease of 230 basis points. Within the product classes, Class C properties led with the tightest occupancy at 94.3%, closely followed by Class A and Class B units at 93.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In terms of submarkets, Rock Hill/Fort Mill, Concord/Kannapolis/Salisbury, and Gaston County emerged with the strongest occupancy rates, each achieving 94.9%. Conversely, South Charlotte and UNC Charlotte posted the weakest rates at 92.8% and 92.6%. As the market looks ahead, occupancy rates in Charlotte are anticipated to stabilize around 94% in the coming year, symbolizing a steady outlook for the industry.

RENTAL TRENDS

In the 2nd quarter of 2023, rents in the Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC metro rose by 2.5% year-over-year to $1,600 per month. This increase falls below the market’s five-year average of 7.1%. In recent years, rent performance has been predominantly driven by Class B units. However, a shift occurred in the 2nd quarter of 2023, with Class A units taking the lead, showing a 3.8% annual rent increase. This is compared to Class B units, which experienced a 1.9% change, and Class C units, which saw a 2.8% change. Among submarkets, East Charlotte and Myers Park stood out with the most substantial annual rent increases in the quarter, at 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively. Conversely, the weakest performances were found in UNC Charlotte, at -0.2%, and South Charlotte, at 0.2%. Moving forward, the rent increases in the Charlotte market are anticipated to remain around the current level of 2.5% through 2024.

Submarket Rent & Occupancy

SubmarketAverage OccupancyAnnual Occupancy ChangeAverage Monthly RentAnnual Rent Change
Ballantyne94.0%-2.2%$1,8082.0%
Concord/Kannapolis/Salisbury94.9%-2.0%$1,4550.7%
East Charlotte93.9%-2.7%$1,4015.1%
Far East Charlotte/Mint Hill93.4%-1.8%$1,2943.9%
Gaston County94.9%-2.3%$1,4013.2%
Huntersville/Cornelius93.8%-3.0%$1,6572.5%
Matthews/Southeast Charlotte93.9%-1.8%$1,5923.8%
Mooresville/Statesville93.7%-2.3%$1,4613.6%
Myers Park94.6%-1.7%$1,8364.9%
North Charlotte93.7%-1.7%$1,5422.9%
Rock Hill/Fort Mill94.9%-1.9%$1,5662.5%
South Charlotte92.8%-2.6%$1,5080.2%
Southwest Charlotte93.7%-2.7%$1,5572.4%
UNC Charlotte92.6%-2.6%$1,496-0.2%
Uptown/South End93.5%-2.4%$2,1012.5%
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC93.8%-2.3%$1,6002.5%

Units by Submarket Delivering in 2023

33,759

Units Under Construction

21,920

Units UC Delivering In the Next 4 Quarters

Units Under Construction

Ballantyne - 695
0%
Concord/Kannapolis/Salisbury - 1,738
0%
East Charlotte - 1,584
0%
Far East Charlotte/Mint Hill - 562
0%
Gaston County - 726
0%
Hunterville/Cornelius - 859
0%
Matthews/Southeast Charlotte - 344
0%
Mooresville/Statesville - 1,313
0%
Myers Park - 1,702
0%
North Charlotte - 5,462
0%
Rock Hill/Fort Mill - 1,795
0%
South Charlotte - 239
0%
Southwest Charlotte - 7,835
0%
UNC Charlotte - 3,600
0%
Uptown/South End - 5,305
0%

Units Delivering Next 4Q

Ballantyne - 345
0%
Concord/Kannapolis/Salisbury - 1,195
0%
East Charlotte - 1,290
0%
Far East Charlotte/Mint Hill - 562
0%
Gaston County - 726
0%
Hunterville/Cornelius - 613
0%
Matthews/Southeast Charlotte - 132
0%
Mooresville/Statesville - 745
0%
Myers Park - 865
0%
North Charlotte - 3,950
0%
Rock Hill/Fort Mill - 1,116
0%
South Charlotte - 0
0%
Southwest Charlotte - 4,450
0%
UNC Charlotte - 2,902
0%
Uptown/South End - 3,029
0%

Sales Activity

In the first half of 2023, the Charlotte, NC apartment market witnessed a significant slowdown in transaction activity. According to data from MSCI Real Capital Analytics, only 11 properties were traded, resulting in a total sales volume of nearly $500 million. This marks a substantial 75.5% decrease compared to the same period in the previous year. On the upside, the average price per unit in these transactions exhibited a noteworthy 14.6% increase, reaching $270,900, thus exceeding the regional norm for the southern region. Despite the pronounced decline in transaction levels relative to previous years, Charlotte’s strong economic foundation continues to render it an attractive destination for investors. The future outlook for the market remains promising, and its resilience and growth potential are poised to sustain ongoing investor interest.

  1. White Oak Partners
  2. GV&A RE Investments
  3. AMAC Holdings
  4. MAA REIT
  5. Southwood Realty/Triangle
  1. Crescent Communities
  2. Greystar
  3. Starwood Capital
  4. RangeWater RE
  5. Alliance Residential

TRANSACTION VOLUME


YTD Transaction Volume

Y-O-Y Change

Individual Transaction Count

Price Per Unit

Annual Price Change

* Trailing 4Q average PPU

* Preliminary Data from RCA – Individual transaction $2.5M +

Economy

In May 2023, the Charlotte, NC metro witnessed remarkable job growth, adding 42,500 jobs compared to May 2022, reflecting a substantial 3.2% increase in employment. Consequently, the unemployment rate decreased by 0.1 percentage point compared to the previous year, reaching 3.2%, which is below the national average of 3.4%. Among the sectors, the leisure and hospitality industry experienced the most significant job gains, with an impressive addition of 15,100 positions, representing a substantial 10.7% expansion. Following closely, the education and health services sector also saw noteworthy growth with a 6.3% expansion and the addition of 8,600 jobs. These positive indicators highlight the region’s strong economic momentum and employment prospects.

42.5k

May Annual Jobs Created

3.2%

May 23 Employment growth

3.2%

May 23 Unemployment rate
3.4% us may rate

Top 5 Employment Sector Annual Change

leisure & hospitality

leisure & hospitality

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
15,100

Percent Change:
10.7%

education & health services

education & health services

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
8,600

Percent Change:
6.3%

professional & business services

professional & business services

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
5,900

Percent Change:
2.6%

trade, transportation & utilities

trade, transportation & utilities

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
3,900

Percent Change:
1.4%

other services

other services

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
2,600

Percent Change:
5.5%

Hover over icons to view data
Tap icons to view data
SectorChange from May 2022 to May 2023 Percent Change
Leisure and hospitality15,100 10.7%
Education and health services8,600 6.3%
Professional and business services5,900 2.6%
Trade, transportation, and utilities3,900 1.4%
Other services2,600 5.5%
Mining, logging, and construction2,500 3.4%
Financial activities2,100 1.8%
Government1,200 0.7%
Information800 3.1%
Manufacturing(200)-0.2%

Major Economic Developments

"Mega-Flex" Processing Facility

300 New Jobs

$1.3B Capital Investment

800-Acre Campus Size

Rock Hill Location

2024 Construction Start

Semiconductor Manufacturer to Build HQ

405 New Jobs

$443M Capital Investment

Pallidus Company

300k SF Facility Size

Late 2023 Expected Completion

Measuring construction material at factory

IKO to Build Two New Manufacturing Facilities

180 New Jobs

$363M Capital Investment

325k SF Building Supplies
Manufacturing Plant

Chester County Location

Late 2025 Expected Completion

Market Outlook

As of the second quarter of 2023, Charlotte’s real estate market has a substantial 33,759 apartment units under construction, yet the anticipated absorption of this new influx is promising. The largest concentration of new inventory, totaling 8,400 units, is set to be completed by Q2 2024 in major demand hotspots. This construction growth, paired with the market’s positive demand patterns, robust economic growth, and favorable in-migration trends, supports solid market fundamentals. Consequently, rent growth and occupancy rates are expected to stabilize around current levels, reflecting the robust demand that aligns with the abundant supply.

Sources: RealPage; BLS; MSCI; Charlotte Business Journal; Charlotte Regional Business Alliance

To Gain Further Insights Into The CHARLOTTE Market Please Reach Out To Our Team

Image of Alex

Alex Blagojevich

Executive Managing Director & Founding Partner

Image of Michael Sullivan

Michael Sullivan

Executive Managing Director & Founding Partner

Image of Brett

Brett Meinzer

Managing Director