Charleston 2Q23
Multifamily Market Report

$1,779

average rent

94.0%

average occupancy rate

$254.25M

ytd sales volume

3.6%

YoY rent change

-1.2 POINTS

yoy occupancy change

8 YTD

individual transactions

Supply & Demand

3Q23

1,021 Units

QUARTERLY DEMAND
YTD: 1,491

818 Units

QUARTERLY COMPLETIONS
YTD: 1,974

Annual Demand vs Completions

2018
3,487
3,840
2019
2,205
2,369
2020
3,479
3,727
2021
5,384
3,717
2022
1,747
3,261
2023 YTD
1,491
1,974
  • Planned.png
    Completions
  • Pre-Planned.png
    Demand

Demand Trends

  • In the third quarter of 2023, Charleston’s rental market continued to exhibit positive absorption, with Charleston renters taking up over 1,021 net units. This demonstrates a notable level of stability in “The Holy City.”
  • Impressively, all four submarkets within Charleston posted positive net absorption, with renters in the North Charleston/Goose Creek submarket absorbing 514 units.

Completion Trends

  • The third quarter of 2023 witnessed the expansion of Charleston’s apartment inventory by 818 units, all of which were add to the North Charleston/Goose Creek and Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands submarkets, accounting for 474 and 344 units, respectively.
  • There has been an uptick in new completions across various submarkets recently. Over the past year, the bulk of new supply was concentrated in the North Charleston/Goose Creek and Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands submarkets, receiving 72% of the newly delivered inventory.

Demand Outlook

  • The outlook for demand in Charleston’s multifamily market over the next four quarters is positive, with an anticipated absorption of 4,514 units.
  • Each of Charleston’s four submarkets is expected to register positive net absorption totals over the coming four quarters.

New Supply Outlook

  • The Charleston apartment market is poised for notable inventory expansion in the next year, adding 3,989 units.
  • he Summerville/Northwest Charleston submarket is set to be the largest recipient, with an estimated 1,471 units add to its apartment stock.

Occupancy & Rent Trends

RENT VS OWN
MONTHLY PAYMENT

$3,084

Average Monthly Mortgage Payment

$1,779

Average Monthly Rent

Occupancy trends

In the most recent quarter, Charleston’s rental market showcased its resilience with a solid 94.0% occupancy rate, despite a year-over-year decline of 120 basis points. However, the market noted a 30-basis point uptick from the last quarter, pointing to renewed demand for Charleston rentals. Class A units led in occupancy at 94.5%, followed closely by Class B and Class C units at 94.0% and 93.8%, respectively. Submarket occupancy ranged from 93.0% to 94.6%, with North Charleston/Goose Creek and West Ashley standing out. Projections for the next year forecast a steady occupancy rate around 95.0%, highlighting Charleston’s market resilience and signaling readiness for potential growth.

RENTAL TRENDS

In Q3 2023, Charleston’s rental market stood out for its resilience, posting a 3.6% year-over-year growth in rents, matching its pre-pandemic annual growth rate. The market outperformed its southeastern neighbors, led by Class A units observing a 2.4% annual increase. Class B and Class C units followed at 2.2% and 0.7%, respectively. The Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands submarket led in annual rent growth at 2.4%, with West Ashley close behind at 2.3%. These figures reaffirm Charleston’s rental market’s enduring appeal and growth potential, even amidst broader economic fluctuations.

Submarket Rent & Occupancy

SubmarketAverage OccupancyAnnual Occupancy ChangeAverage Monthly RentAnnual Rent Change
Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands94.1%-1.9%$2,2094.2%
West Ashley94.6%-0.6%$1,6674.1%
North Charleston/Goose Creek94.6%-1.1%$1,4944.5%
Summerville/Northwest Charleston93.0%-1.1%$1,6081.2%
Charleston-North Charleston, SC94.0%-1.2%$1,7793.6%

Units by Submarket Delivering in 2023

7,780

Units Under Construction

3,989

Units UC Delivering In the Next 4 Quarters

Units Under Construction

Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands - 2,537
0%
West Ashley - 496
0%
North Charleston/Goose Creek - 1,786
0%
Summerville/Northwest Charleston - 2,961
0%

Units Delivering Next 4Q

Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands - 1,388
0%
West Ashley - 344
0%
North Charleston/Goose Creek - 786
0%
Summerville/Northwest Charleston - 1,471
0%

Sales Activity

In the early months of 2023, the Charleston apartment market witnessed a slower pace in transaction activity. Data from MSCI Real Capital Analytics revealed that only six properties were traded in the first three quarters, resulting in a trade volume of $254.5 million, a sharp 71.7% drop year-over-year. However, the silver lining is a 10.6% surge in the average price per unit, which climbed to $253,500. Despite the dip in transaction volume, the market’s affordability and solid economic fundamentals continue to attract investors.

  1. VTT Management
  2. West Shore Equity
  3. Blackstone
  1. Middle Street Partners
  2. RangeWater RE
  3. Federal Capital
  4. VTT Management
  5. Carroll Organization

TRANSACTION VOLUME


YTD Transaction Volume

Y-O-Y Change

Individual Transaction Count

Price Per Unit

Annual Price Change

* Trailing 4Q average PPU

* Preliminary Data from RCA – Individual transaction $2.5M +

Economy

In August 2023, the Charleston-North Charleston, SC metro area witnessed a remarkable net gain of 18,000 jobs compared to August 2022, signifying an impressive 4.5% increase in employment. Consequently, the unemployment rate saw a notable decline of 100 basis points compared to the previous year, reaching a remarkable low of 2.1%, significantly below the national benchmark of 3.9%. Among the sectors, the professional and business services industry stood out with the most substantial job gains, adding 5,000 positions, which represents a remarkable 7.8% expansion. This sector’s growth was further fueled by the leisure and hospitality industry, which experienced a robust expansion of 5.8%, adding 3,100 jobs to the workforce. These positive trends underscore the region’s strong economic momentum and thriving employment prospects.

18k

August Annual Jobs Created

4.5%

August 23 Employment growth

2.1%

August 23 Unemployment rate
3.9% us may rate

Top 5 Employment Sector Annual Change

Professional & Business Services

Professional & Business Services

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
5,000

Percent Change:
7.8%

Leisure & Hospitality

Leisure & Hospitality

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
3,100

Percent Change:
5.8%

Education & Health Services

education & health services

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
2,900

Percent Change:
6.3%

trade, transportation & utilities

trade, transportation & utilities

Change from August 2022 to May 2023:
2,100

Percent Change:
2.9%

government

government

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
1,600

Percent Change:
2.4%

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SectorChange from May 2022 to May 2023 Percent Change
Professional and business services5,000 7.8%
Leisure and hospitality3,100 5.8%
Education and health services2,900 6.3%
Trade, transportation, and utilities2,100 2.9%
Government1,600 2.4%
Manufacturing1,500 4.9%
Mining, logging, and construction1,300 6.0%
Information700 8.2%
Other services300 1.9%
Financial activities(500)-2.6%

Cost of Living Comparison

Charleston, South Carolina, is a magnet for out-of-state renters, offering a blend of warm weather, affordable housing, and abundant job opportunities. With a cost-of-living index of 98.3, Charleston proves to be more budget-friendly than the national average. Additionally, Charleston provides significant cost savings in various aspects of life. When compared to nearby Chapel Hill, NC, Charleston offers cost reductions in areas such as transportation (2.8% average savings) and healthcare (11.8% average savings). Moreover, Charleston residents typically experience substantial savings of 28.9% on housing expenses compared to Chapel Hill. Currently, the median home price in Charleston is $430,200, showing a 2.1% decrease year-over-year. It’s worth noting that the average monthly mortgage payment of $3,084 in Charleston exceeds the average rent of $1,779, making renting a viable and financially attractive choice for residents. Charleston truly shines as a captivating option in the southeastern United States.

CHapel Hill, NC vs. Charleston, SC
Cost of Living Comparison
Groceries:

0.5% More
Housing:

20.7% Less
Utilities:

28.9% More
Transportation:

2.8% Less
Health:

11.8% Less
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Cost of Living Index

98.3

Index Score

Average Mortgage

$3,084

vs Average Rent: $1,779

Housing

97.2

Index Score

Utilities

116.0

Index Score

Gas

90.7

Index Score

Median Home Sales Price

$430,200

YoY Change: -2.1%

The “Cost of Living” index score provides a comparative assessment of the relative expense involved in maintaining a standard of living in a specific area, benchmarked against a national index score of 100.

Market Outlook

Despite nationwide cooling, investor enthusiasm for the Charleston apartment market remains unwavering. In Q3 2023, an impressive 7,780 housing units are currently in various stages of construction, with approximately 3,989 units scheduled for completion over the next four quarters. The notable influx of new construction, set to be largely absorbed by late 2024, raises minimal concerns. This upcoming inventory will be strategically dispersed across multiple submarkets, with Downtown/Mount Pleasant/Islands and Summerville/Northwest Charleston leading the way, contributing 1,497 and 1,675 units, respectively. On the whole, the occupancy rate in Charleston is expected to maintain stability, although there may be a slight softening in rent growth. Charleston’s favorable economic outlook signals enduring resilience and potential for expansion, painting a promising picture for the future.

Sources: RealPage; BLS; MSCI;The Council for Community And Economic Research (C2ER)

To Gain Further Insights Into The charleston Market Please Reach Out To Our Team

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Alex Blagojevich

Executive Managing Director & Founding Partner

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Michael Sullivan

Executive Managing Director & Founding Partner

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David Huey

Senior Director

Kendall Adams

Associate Advisor

Ryan Carter

Associate Advisor