Boston 3Q23
Multifamily Market Report

$2,939

average rent

95.6%

average occupancy rate

$1.8B

ytd sales volume

3.2%

YoY rent change

-0.9 POINTS

yoy occupancy change

46

ytd individual transactions

Supply & Demand

3Q23

1,325 Units

QUARTERLY DEMAND
YTD: 2,966

2,263 Units

QUARTERLY COMPLETIONS
YTD: 5,096

Annual Demand vs Completions

2018
10,075
7,649
2019
7,427
6,132
2020
2,498
9,400
2021
15,555
6,140
2022
-83
5,879
2023 YTD
2,966
5,095
  • Planned
    Completions
  • Pre-Planned
    Demand

Demand Trends

  • Boston’s apartment market rebounded in Q3 2023 with a net absorption of 1,325 units, the highest since late 2021, albeit below typical Q3 averages.
  • Among Boston’s 19 submarkets, 12 recorded positive net absorption in Q3, with Cambridge/Somerville leading at 439 units.

Completion Trends

  • Through the third quarter of the year, Boston’s apartment market added a moderate 5,095 units, aligning closely with historical averages.
  • In the past year, the local apartment inventory primarily has been fueled by substantial additions to the Cambridge/Somerville and Plymouth County submarkets.

Demand Outlook

  • The outlook for Boston’s multifamily market is positive for the coming four quarters, as 13,721 net units are anticipated to be absorbed, which will outpace the estimated number of new units coming on-line over the same timeframe.
  • Fenway/Brookline/Brighton is forecasted to be a key driver of apartment demand, accounting for roughly 17% of total market-wide absorption over the next year.

New Supply Outlook

  • As of Q3 2023, Boston has 14,693 units under construction, with 9,827 slated for completion in the next year.
  • The majority of upcoming deliveries are expected in Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown, Fenway/Brookline/Brighton, Quincy, and Cambridge/Somerville submarkets.

Occupancy & Rent Trends

RENT VS OWN
MONTHLY PAYMENT

$5,423

Average Monthly Mortgage Payment*

$2,939

Average Monthly Rent

Occupancy trends

In the third quarter of 2023, the Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH multifamily market maintained a robust occupancy rate of 95.6%, although this represented a slight year-over-year decline of 90 basis points. Across the spectrum of property classes, occupancy remained robust—Class C led the pack with 96.6%, followed by Class B at 95.4%, and Class A at 94.8%. The majority of Boston’s submarkets boasted solid occupancy rates above 95%, with Rockingham/Strafford Counties standing out at over 97%. Even Fenway/Brookline/Brighton, at a somewhat lower 93.6%, remained competitive. As we move forward, the market is anticipated to see a slight uptick in occupancy, driven by demand outpacing new supply, projecting an occupancy rate of approximately 96.7% by Q3 2024.

RENTAL TRENDS

In Q3 2023, the Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH area enjoyed a healthy 3.2% year-over-year increase in average multifamily rents, hitting $2,939 per month and ranking it among the nation’s top markets. Performance varied among property classes; Class A rents rose by 3.7%, while Class B and C saw increases of 3.2% and 2.7%, respectively. Certain submarkets, notably Southwest Boston and Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown, outperformed the rest with rent hikes of 5.2% and 4.7%. Conversely, Plymouth County and Rockingham/Strafford Counties saw minimal decreases, fluctuating by 0.1% and 0.5%. As the market absorbs new inventory, rent growth is expected to remain consistent in the 3.0% to 3.5% range.

* The Average mortgage payment is based off a median home sales price of $734,200 as reported by the National Association of Realtors as of Aug 2023.

Submarket Rent & Occupancy

SubmarketAverage OccupancyAnnual Occupancy ChangeAverage Monthly RentAnnual Rent Change
Cambridge/Somerville94.9%-1.3%$3,6503.4%
Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown94.4%-1.6%$2,9164.7%
East Middlesex County95.5%-0.9%$2,7863.6%
Fenway/Brookline/Brighton93.6%-2.6%$3,6203.7%
Intown Boston96.5%-0.2%$4,0854.0%
Lowell95.4%-1.4%$2,4022.3%
Marlborough/Framingham95.9%-0.7%$2,4792.4%
North Essex County96.7%-0.7%$2,2984.2%
Plymouth County96.2%-1.0%$2,3170.1%
Quincy95.7%-0.9%$2,6292.5%
Rockingham/Strafford Counties97.5%-0.5%$2,0210.5%
South Essex County96.4%-0.1%$2,6541.1%
Southwest Boston94.6%-0.5%$2,7635.2%
Waltham/Newton/Lexington96.3%-0.2%$3,2313.1%
West Norfolk County95.0%-1.6%$2,7423.6%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH95.6%-0.9%$2,9393.2%

Units by Submarket Delivering in 2023

14,693

Units Under Construction

9,827

Units UC Delivering In the Next 4 Quarters

Number of Units Under Construction

Cambridge/Somerville - 1,067
0%
Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown - 1,787
0%
East Middlesex County - 3,198
0%
Fenway/Brookline/Brighton - 1,747
0%
Intown Boston - 673
0%
Lowell - 52
0%
Marlborough/Framingham - 692
0%
North Essex County - 382
0%
Plymouth County - 542
0%
Quincy - 1,052
0%
Rockingham/Strafford Counties - 177
0%
South Essex County - 839
0%
Southwest Boston - 909
0%
Waltham/Newton/Lexington - 1,576
0%
West Norfolk County - 64
0%

Number of Units Delivering Next 4Q

Cambridge/Somerville - 1,021
0%
Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown - 1,380
0%
East Middlesex County - 975
0%
Fenway/Brookline/Brighton - 1,185
0%
Intown Boston - 593
0%
Lowell - 52
0%
Marlborough/Framingham - 312
0%
North Essex County - 215
0%
Plymouth County - 542
0%
Quincy - 1,052
0%
Rockingham/Strafford Counties - 156
0%
South Essex County - 725
0%
Southwest Boston - 843
0%
Waltham/Newton/Lexington - 720
0%
West Norfolk County - 64
0%

Sales Activity

Amid a tightening financial environment, investor interest in the Boston apartment market remains robust. During the first three quarters of 2023, conventional single-asset apartment transactions totaled a substantial $1.8 billion. Although this marks a 24% year-over-year decrease, it’s noteworthy that 46 properties changed hands, closely resembling pre-pandemic transaction levels for the same period. Even more striking is the 5.9% year-over-year increase in the average price per unit, bringing the market’s average to an impressive $439,100 per unit. This underscores the market’s resilience and enduring appeal to investors.

  1. Brookfield AM
  2. Abacus Capital Group
  3. Lincoln Property Co
  4. Cadillac Fairview
  5. GID
  1. Boston Residential
  2. The Hanover Co
  3. AvalonBay
  4. Brookfield AM
  5. Gate Residential

TRANSACTION VOLUME


YTD Transaction Volume

Y-O-Y Change

Individual Transaction Count

Price Per Unit

Annual Price Change

* Trailing 4Q average PPU

* Preliminary Data from RCA – Individual conventional transaction $2.5M +

Economy

August 2023 brought a remarkable surge in job growth to the Boston metro, with an impressive addition of 79,600 jobs compared to the same month in 2022. This translates to a substantial 2.9% increase in employment. Consequently, the unemployment rate saw a significant drop of 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous year, now standing at a low 2.7%, well below the national average of 3.9%. Examining specific sectors, the education and health services industry led the charge with the most substantial job gains, boasting an impressive addition of 23,100 positions, representing a significant 4.0% expansion. The professional and business services sector followed closely, experiencing a comparable growth rate of 3.8% and contributing 20,400 jobs to the mix. These positive indicators underscore the region’s robust economic momentum and promising employment prospects. Notably, the average hourly wage in Boston stands at an impressive $38.85, surpassing the US average of $29.76, further emphasizing the strength and attractiveness of the region’s job market.

79.6K

August Annual Jobs Created

2.9%

August 23 Employment growth

2.7%

August 23 Unemployment rate
3.9% us August rate

Top 5 Employment Sector Annual Change

Education & Health Services

Professional & Business Services

Change from August 2022 to May 2023:
23,100

Percent Change:
4.0%

Professional & Business Services

Professional & Business Services

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
20,400

Percent Change:
3.8%

Leisure & Hospitality

Manufacturing

Change from May 2022 to May 2023:
14,500

Percent Change:
5.3%

mining, logging & construction

mining, logging & construction

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
7,200

Percent Change:
5.5%

trade, transportation & utilities

trade, transportation & utilities

Change from August 2022 to August 2023:
5,200

Percent Change:
1.3%

Hover over icons to view data
Tap icons to view data
SectorChange from Aug 2022 to Aug 2023 Percent Change
Education and health services23,100 4.0%
Professional and business services20,400 3.8%
Leisure and hospitality14,500 5.3%
Mining, logging, and construction7,200 5.5%
Trade, transportation, and utilities5,200 1.3%
Financial activities5,000 2.7%
Government4,200 1.5%
Other services900 0.9%
Information100 0.1%
Manufacturing(1,000)-0.5%

Cost of Living Comparison

Boston, Massachusetts beckons to a multitude of young professionals along the eastern seaboard, proving itself as an alluring alternative to its Northeastern counterpart, New York City, New York. The city of Boston extends a generous hand when it comes to cost savings in crucial aspects of life. Comparing the two cities, Boston offers an impressive 10.5% average reduction in grocery expenditures. Furthermore, despite its reputation for a steep cost of living, Bostonians typically enjoy a substantial 55.0% savings when it comes to housing expenses compared to New York City. As of now, the median home price in Boston hovers at $734,200, demonstrating a modest 1.7% increase year-over-year. Notably, the average monthly mortgage payment of $5,423 in Boston far surpasses the average rent of $2,939, making renting a notably favorable choice compared to alternative housing arrangements.

Manhattan, NY vs. Boston, MA
Cost of Living Comparison
Groceries:

10.5% Less
Housing:

55.1% Less
Utilities:

25.3% More
Transportation:

10.0% More
Health:

2.0% More
Previous slide
Next slide
Cost of Living Index

148.3

Index Score

Average Mortgage

$5,423

vs Average Rent: $2,939

Housing

219.9

Index Score

Utilities

127.2

Index Score

Gas

127.2

Index Score

Median Home Sales Price

$734,200

YoY Change: 1.7%

The “Cost of Living” index score provides a comparative assessment of the relative expense involved in maintaining a standard of living in a specific area, benchmarked against a national index score of 100.

Market Outlook

Boston has displayed remarkable resilience in the face of the pandemic, surpassing the performance of many other coastal gateway markets. As of Q3 2023, there are currently 14,693 housing units under construction, with an additional 9,827 units expected to be completed by late 2024. Apartment absorption has returned to its usual levels, aligning with historical trends. Noteworthy demand hotspots for the upcoming year include Fenway/Brookline/Brighton, Cambridge/Somerville, and Chelsea/Revere/Charlestown, collectively accounting for 38.6% of the overall absorption. Despite the concentration of new inventory in these areas, the combination of robust demand and sustained economic growth is anticipated to uphold high occupancy rates and stabilize rent performance. This will ensure the presence of solid fundamentals in Boston’s apartment market, reaffirming its resilience and continued stability.

Sources: RealPage; BLS; MSCI; Boston Business Journal; Boston Economic Development Center

To Gain Further Insights Into The Boston Market Please Reach Out To Our National Team

Image of Alex

Alex Blagojevich

Executive Managing Director / Co-Founder

Image of Michael Sullivan

Michael Sullivan

Executive Managing Director / Co-Founder

Image of David

David Huey

Senior Director

Kendall Adams

Associate Advisor

Ryan Carter

Associate Advisor