MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Orlando Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,742

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

-0.9%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,726

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

91.6%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

-30 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

91.3%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

11,315

2025 COMPLETIONS

9,011

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

6,016

2026 COMPLETIONS

7,972

2025 NET ABSORPTION

7,393

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

5,148

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • Rent performance is expected to stabilize through 2026, with declines slowing as the market shifts from broad-based concessions to more selective, submarket-driven pricing. Nevertheless, Orlando is anticipated to continue underperforming most regional peer markets for rent growth in 2026.

  • Occupancy should hold near current levels and bottom in 2026 as improving supply-demand balance limits further softening and supports gradual stabilization. Similar to many other tourism-based markets in the Sun Belt, Orlando’s average occupancy rate will remain below the national average.

  • The construction pipeline is contracting meaningfully, which should relieve supply pressure and improve fundamentals over time. However, outcomes will remain uneven, with delivery-heavy submarkets lagging and lower-supply areas outperforming.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Orlando’s short-term rental market outlook is supported by durable demand drivers that should keep the market on a steady path toward stabilization...

Featured Florida Research Reports:

Jhamil Moore - Senior Advisor

Jhamil Moore

Senior Advisor
Michael Barrett

Michael Barrett

Associate
Gonzo Bruno Rivera

Gonzalo Rivera

Associate

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