MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Cincinnati Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,327

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

2.1%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,354

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

93.4%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

0 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

93.4%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

3,252

2025 COMPLETIONS

2,391

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

1,853

2026 COMPLETIONS

2,137

2025 NET ABSORPTION

2,029

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

1,468

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • The delivery schedule is expected to step down meaningfully in 2026, with completions projected to decline roughly 43% year over year. This reduction should ease lease-up overlap, support occupancy holding near 93.4%, and allow concessions to become more targeted rather than broad-based.

  • Cincinnati is projected to remain the rent-growth leader among major Ohio metros, with effective rents forecast to rise 2.1% year over year, again outpacing the projected national average of 1.5%. The primary driver is a meaningful step-down in new supply.

  • Stabilized occupancy in Cincinnati is projected to hover around 93.4%, remaining among the strongest in Ohio and trailing only Dayton (93.8%) and Akron (93.7%)—a clear reflection of the metro’s healthy supply-and-demand balance over the past several years.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Cincinnati enters 2026 with a stable operating backdrop supported by a steady, but mixed, employment picture and a supply cycle that is moving toward better balance...

Featured Ohio Research Reports:

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