MARKET SNAPSHOT

2026 Charlotte Forecast

2025

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2026

$1,584

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

0.4%

ANNUAL CHANGE

$1,590

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

91.5%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

+10 BPS

ANNUAL CHANGE

91.6%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

14,484

2025 COMPLETIONS

10,341

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

9,971

2026 COMPLETIONS

14,334

2025 NET ABSORPTION

8,530

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Absorption

7,735

2026 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2026
  • While the peak in unit deliveries appears to be in the rearview mirror, the pipeline remains substantial: an additional 21,780 units were under construction as of Q4 2025. That equates to roughly an 8.5% inventory expansion, positioning Charlotte as the most supply-exposed major market in the country at year-end 2025.

  • Rent growth in Charlotte remains under pressure as a robust supply wave collides with softer seasonal demand, pushing annual rent growth to -1.4% in Q4 2025, the sharpest decline since rents turned negative in 2023.

  • Stabilized occupancy has softened as Charlotte works through an outsized delivery cycle—holding near 92% through 2024 and early 2025, then stepping down to 91.5% in Q4 2025.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Charlotte’s multifamily market in 2026 is set up as a “digest and stabilize” year, with fundamentals improving gradually as the market works through the tail end of an outsized supply cycle...

Featured Charlotte Research Reports:

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Alex Blagojevich

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Michael Sullivan

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Brett Meinzer

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Kyle Shoemaker

Kyle Shoemaker

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Simon Turner

Simon Turner

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Bill Brading

Bill Brading

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Thomas Skevington

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Jake Sullivan

Senior Advisor

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