MARKET SNAPSHOT

2025 Boston Forecast

2024

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

2025

$2,836

Q4 AVG. EFFECTIVE RENT

2.9%

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

$2,918

Q4 Avg. Effective Rent

96.0%

Q4 AVG. OCCUPANCY

-10 BPS

FORECASTED ANNUAL CHANGE

95.9%

Q4 Avg. Occupancy

7,264

2024 COMPLETIONS

8,297

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions

7,023

2025 COMPLETIONS

7,844

2024 NET ABSORPTION

7,831

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Net Absorption

7,064

2025 NET ABSORPTION

Source: CoStar
Key Market Themes for 2025
  • STEADY SUPPLY GROWTH

    Boston’s apartment inventory grew by 7,200 units in 2024 (2.6% of total stock), with another 7,000 units expected in 2025. The 16,000 units currently under construction (5.5% of inventory) remain about 20% below the late 2018 peak, ensuring a balanced supply pipeline that supports long-term market stability.

  • RESILIENT RENT GROWTH OUTPACING NATIONAL TRENDS

    Year-over-year rent growth reached 2.3% in 2024, outpacing the 1.0% national average and ranking among the top 25 multifamily markets. With fewer supply pressures than Sun Belt markets, rents are expected to rise to 2.9% in 2025, nearing the historical average of 3.0%.

  • STRONG MARKET FUNDAMENTALS

    Strong leasing activity kept occupancy stable, rising 10 basis points year over year in Q4 2024. With balanced supply and demand, Boston remains one of the nation’s most resilient multifamily markets.

2025 SUPPLY TRENDS

MULTFAMILY STARTS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN 2024

MULTIFAMILY STARTS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN 2024

2023: 8,997 units > 2024: 6,630 units

Annual Increase of 2,367 units or 35%

10 Yr. Historical Annual Average: 8,799 units

UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION TRENDING ABOVE THE 10 YEAR AVERAGE

UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION TRENDING ABOVE THE 10 YEAR AVERAGE

16,104 units under construction as of December 31st 2024

10 Yr. Historical Annual Average Units UC: 15,698

3% Higher than historical average

UNIT COMPLETIONS PROJECTED TO DECREASE IN 2025

UNIT COMPLETIONS PROJECTED TO DECREASE IN 2025

2024: 7,264 units > 2025: 7,023 units

Annual Decrease of 241 units or -3%

10 Yr. Avg. Annual Completions: 8,181 units

Boston’s apartment supply growth has remained steady, closely tracking its long-term average in recent years. In 2024, nearly 7,200 new units were delivered—representing 2.6% of total inventory—consistent with historical trends. Another 7,000 units are slated for completion in 2025, maintaining a pace of inventory expansion in line with the market’s historical mean.

Currently, 16,000 units are under construction, equating to 5.5% of total inventory. While this aligns with the five-year average, it remains roughly 20% below the peak development activity seen in late 2018. As a result, supply growth is expected to remain measured, reinforcing stable multifamily fundamentals in the near and midterm.

2025 RENT & OCCUPANCY TRENDS
ANNUAL RENT GROWTH & OCCUPANCY
OCCUPANCY TRENDS

Steady leasing activity over the past few quarters has placed upward pressure on occupancy in Boston’s multifamily market, supporting rent growth and driving a 10-basis-point increase in average occupancy year over year in Q4 2024. With a more measured pace of development in recent years, occupancy rates are expected to remain stable in 2025, with only minor fluctuations. Overall, Boston’s multifamily fundamentals are finding balance, positioning the market to maintain its traditional strength among the nation’s top metros.

RENT TRENDS

At 2.3%, year-over-year effective rent growth in Boston outperformed the national average of just 1.0%, ranking among the highest in the nation’s 25 largest multifamily markets by unit count—further underscoring the city’s resilience. Rent growth is expected to accelerate through late 2025, as Boston’s supply pipeline remains more balanced compared to many Sun Belt markets facing oversupply pressures. As a result, rents are projected to approach the long-term historical average of 3.0%, ending 2025 at an estimated 2.9%.

Submarket Rent & Occupancy

2024 INCOME & EXPENSE ANALYSIS

12-month period ending November 2024

CLICK TO VIEW FORECAST DATA

INCOME

INCOME
Income AssumptionsValue / UnitYear Change (%)
Rental Income / Occupied Unit$2,672.925.3%
Recoverable Expenses / Occupied Unit$34.7610.1%
Other Income / Occupied Unit$106.671.5%
Total Income / Occupied Unit$2,814.355.2%
Operating Income
Rental Income$2,502.645.0%
Recoverable Expenses$32.559.8%
Other Income$99.871.1%
Total Income$2,635.054.9%

EXPENSES

EXPENSES
Operating ExpensesValue / UnitYear Change (%)
Payroll$195.253.8%
Marketing & Advertising$30.42-0.9%
Repairs & Maintenance$194.220.0%
Administrative$80.703.7%
Management Fees$91.700.2%
Utilities$152.544.9%
Real Estate & Other Taxes$267.940.6%
Insurance$66.7318.7%
Other Operating Expensees$15.03
Total Operating Expense$1,094.522.8%
Net Operating Income$1,540.536.4%
Please note that the income and expense data presented in this section is sourced from trusted third-party data providers and does not reflect the entire market. While we strive for accuracy, our firm does not provide any warranty or guarantee regarding the reliability or precision of this information. We recommend users exercise discretion and professional judgment when interpreting and utilizing this data.
MARKET OUTLOOK

Boston’s multifamily market remains resilient, with steady supply growth, strong leasing activity, and solid rent performance. In 2024, nearly 7,200 new units were delivered, accounting for 2.6% of total inventory—consistent with historical trends. Another 7,000 units are expected in 2025, while the 16,000 units currently under construction equate to 5.5% of inventory, about 20% below the peak seen in late 2018. This measured pace of development has helped maintain market stability, with occupancy rising 10 basis points year over year in Q4 2024. Looking ahead, occupancy rates are expected to remain steady, with only minor fluctuations, as supply growth remains balanced.

Boston’s rent growth has also outpaced the national average, with effective rents rising 2.3% year over year in 2024, compared to just 1.0% nationally. This growth ranks among the highest in the country’s top 25 multifamily markets by unit count. With the supply pipeline posing fewer risks than in many Sun Belt markets, rent growth is projected to accelerate toward the long-term historical average of 3.0%, ending 2025 at 2.9%. As market fundamentals continue to stabilize, Boston is well-positioned to retain its status as one of the nation’s strongest and most resilient multifamily markets.

Disclaimer: This multifamily forecast incorporates data from reputable third-party sources, including Costar, Yardi Matrix, the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and ESRI. While we make every effort to ensure accuracy, we cannot guarantee the reliability of the projections provided. Forecasts are inherently subject to change due to evolving market conditions, economic factors, and unforeseen events. We strongly encourage users to conduct independent due diligence and consult with an MMG Advisor before making any investment decisions based on this information.

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Managing Director
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Thomas Skevington

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Jake Sullivan

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